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The Tea Party: Groupthink or Swarm Intelligence?


Tea Part Rally, September 12, 2009
Estimated turnout of 1.2 million

The ant is a collectively intelligent and individually stupid animal; man is the opposite.
~Karl von Frisch

Do a Google search for “The Tea Party,” and you get the following top results:

  • Join the Tea Party (www.jointheteaparty.com) – owned by Todd Cefaratti of Glengary Inc. in Gilbert, Arizona
  • Tea Party Patriots, “Official Home of the Tea Party Movement” (www.teapartypatriots.ning.com) – owned by attorney Mark Meckler of Grass Valley, CA
  • Tea Party (www.teaparty.org) – owned by Dale Robertson of Drums, PA (infamous for his “n-word” sign)
  • The Tea Party Express (www.teapartyexpress.org) – owned by Our Country Deserves Better PAC in Sacramento, CA
  • Tea Party Day (www.teapartyday.com) – owned by the American Family Association in Savannah, TN
  • Tea Party Nation (www.teapartynation.com) – owned by Judson Phillips of Franklin, TN
  • …just to name a few (but we’ll leave www.teaparty.com out of it, since they’re a Toronto rock group).

    Let’s pause here to say The Renaissance Mob is not a political blog in the sense that we don’t get down in the mud villifying and demonizing political parties and/or politicians. So before going further, perhaps it would be good to clarify the purpose of this post.

    At first, it seemed àpropos to publish this post before the November elections which took place earlier this month. However, while it might have been a “hotter topic” then, this post is not meant to instigate or provoke. Rather it is meant to ask: Can a mass of humans self-organize and carry out positive change? The “Tea Party” seemed an ideal contemporary case study, since the claim, among their admirers and advocates (insert any of the big name “Talk Radio” hosts here), is that the group:
    1. Has no one visible leader (collective intelligence)
    2. Is a “grassroots movement” (diverse sampling of population)
    3. Was spontaneously organized (emergent organization)

    Indeed, both allies and enemies of the Tea Party Movement seem to be in… at least semi-agreement on these claims:

    If you look underneath the surface of the Tea Party movement, on the other hand, you will find that it is not sophisticated. ~Karl Rove
    So the challenge, I think, for the Tea Party movement is to identify, specifically, what would you do?” ~Barack Obama
    Many [Tea Party activists] are proud of their decentralization, which makes them feel like their voices are being heard. ~The Daily Beast
    There is no single Tea Party. The name is an umbrella that encompasses many different groups. ~Matthew Continetti

    …It’s actually pretty hard to find quotes about The Tea Party that aren’t charged with strong rhetoric. But if you distilled the views of everyone from Michael Moore to Glenn Beck down to the most basic elements, they all are saying the same thing about the movement: that it has no leader, that it comes from individuals, and that it is self-organizing. (True, Nancy Pelosi called them “Astroturf” a while back, but that may have been more wishful thinking since she is now talking about the things she has in common with The Tea Party.) It should be said that, while most seem to agree on these three points, not all think them a good thing. The post-election news shows a brewing battle between “establishment Republicans” and “The Tea Partiers.” In particular is the issue of leadership and control. Career politicians aren’t usually big fans of movements they can’t predict or control. But we’ll leave battle for someone else to sort out…

    The interest here is how the Tea Party thinks. On the Washington Post website, Robert J. Goodwin attributes some of the success of The Tea Party to what he calls “distributed leadership:”

    The Tea Party movement embodies that of a “starfish” organization. It is difficult to attack with no clearly defined leadership, and even if one cell-or candidate-is defeated, the movement lives on.

    Readers of this blog may hear an echo of a recent post in which we looked at Al Qaeda’s growing use of “swarm attacks.” No, this is not meant to equate The Tea Party to terrorists. But – if it is possible to remove yourself from political views – it is interesting to see how the strategies (not the motives and goals) are similar.

    Let’s assume for a moment The Tea Party is a bone-fide example of swarm/collective intelligence that works – separating yourself from your feelings for or against the movement. What compelled it to form in the first place? How can it be strengthened/weakened?

    For the first question, we can go back to last month’s “Tweeter of the Month” Dave Snowden, who teaches three conditions for innovation: starvation of resources, pressure, and perspective shift. According to Wikipedia, the first Tea Party protests (imitating the Boston Tea Party) were over the 100-some new taxes being proposed in New York State. The perception was that there was a starvation of resources via taxation, the pressure of isolation of the individual from government and a perspective shift away from the two-party (or any party, for that matter) system.

    As far as how the movement might strengthen or weaken, that might be accomplished by resisting or giving in to groupthink. Tea Party rallies have been described by some as a circus, with all kinds of freaks. Advocates of the movement tend to be dismissive of the “freak show” element, not realizing that it is that very diversity that gives the movement viability. Enemies of the Tea Party really may not need not do anything, because if the movement tends toward centralized leadership, it will weaken under the weight of groupthink. Groupthink is defined as “a type of thought within a deeply cohesive in-group whose members try to minimize conflict and reach consensus without critically testing, analyzing, and evaluating ideas.” In other words, thinking is homogenized to the point of losing individuality and diversity.

    This means, for The Tea Party to stay viable, it must stay decentralized and increase its diversity. A movement, then, is limited to the degree of faith it puts in its members. It is also limited by its willingness (or lack thereof) to listen to very different opinions.

    See also:
    The Tea Party’s Weird Science

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    100th Tweet ~ Indonesia, Wildebeest & Nostalgia


    Tsunamis, like the one in 2004 (above) and the one this week, are examples of Black Swan Events.

    A crucial link in Indonesia’s tsunami warning system was not working during Monday’s tsunami because it had been vandalised, says an Indonesian official.
    ~BBC News, October 27

    Deciphering Twitter can be as nearly impossible as hearing one bird in a forest full of them. Every 100th tweet we’ll do a quick review of the ones worth special mention. If you are not doing so already, please follow us (@renaissancemob) for up-to-date news on RM topics, announcements of new blog posts as well as our new twitter book clubs. (We’re currently tweeting about David Freedman’s “Wrong

    ,” which can be found by entering “#dhfwrong” in the search window on Twitter.)

    Black Swan Events
    A Black Swan Event, as identified by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, is a highly improbable consequential event. In other words, it’s a random event you can’t predict. Its impact can be either positive or negative, so it’s subjective in nature. We’ll be keeping tabs (#blackswans) on Black Swans since they play such a large role in an otherwise mundane life.

    27 October – BBC (Asia-Pacific) ‘No Alert’ in Indonesian Tsunami
    Tsunamis, like weather patterns, are caused by a complex system of events. In this case it was triggered by an underwater earthquake. Because earthquakes and volcanos are impossible to predict, early warning systems were put in place two years ago in order for coastal residents to have advance warning of a coming tsunami. Here the Black Swan Event was as much the vandalism of the early warning system as the tsunami itself. The question is, did anyone know the warning system was not working before this happened?

    Adaptivity/Emergence
    It’s part of human nature to ask the question how did things come to be the way they are? …As well as what may develop in the future? Our tweets about adaptivity and emergence (#adaptemerge) provide links, quotes and info on attempts to answer that very question.

    26 October – Blogcritics (Sci-Tech) Science, The Hadron Collider, and a Supreme Being
    With the recent release of Stephen Hawking’s book “The Grand Design

    ,” many articles are out on how the complex system that is our universe might have come into being without a “need” for a Supreme Being. In this article, Regis Shilken claims that there is still the evolutionary problem/puzzle of human consciousness.

    Chaos/Aesthetics
    In a series of posts called “The Aesthetics of Chaos,” we are taking a look at how Chaos Theory gives us a natural guide for appreciating and understanding beauty, as well as why that’s important. To complement that series, we’ll be tweeting about chaos in art and nature (#chaesth).

    26 October – Boston.com (A&E) Leaving (most of) it up to chance

    13 October – The Huffington Post (Max Eternity) Buddha 2010: Contemporary Tibetan Art

    Groupthink
    One of the dangers our world faces is groupthink – on a scale never before possible. Where in ages past a madman could influence a crowd within the sound of his voice with powerful rhetoric, now organizations are global in their influence. We will keep watch on groupthink (#groupthink) – even where it is not recognized as such.

    26 October – CNN (International) Corruption Survey: Somalia is the Worst

    Swarm Intelligence

    2010 Wildebeest Migration: an example of swarm intelligencePhoto Masai Mara

    As we saw in Len Fisher’s book “The Perfect Swarm,” groupthink and swarm intelligence are two different things. With swarm intelligence, members of the swarm act as independent agents with a common purpose. Our tweets on swarm intelligence (#swarmintel) provide insightful articles and information of swarm activities.

    25 October – CNET News (Technically Incorrect) Study: Bees are smarter than computers

    16 October – Ifpress.com (Travel) Nature’s Thrill Ride, Wildebeest migration a sight to behold
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    .
    Fractals
    Fractal is a term coined by Franco-American mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot (who just died this month). A fractal is a geometric shape which is recursive no matter how much you magnify it. In his book “The Fractal Geometry of Nature,” Mandelbrot tied fractals to chaos theory. Tweets about fractals (#fractals) will have information on their relevance to life today.

    25 October – Scientific American (Cross-Check) Benoit Mandelbrot (RIP) and a quest for the theory of really everything

    Recurrence
    One of the most profound lessons learned from fractals is the idea of recurrence – that there is repetition and at the same time variation at all levels of any system. There are some exciting things happening (#recurrence) in the study of recurrence.

    22 October – SciTopics (Research Summaries) Recurrence Plot

    Renaissance (Wo)Men
    The Renaissance Mob promotes individuals becoming trained generalists. We believe that solving complex social problems requires independent, interdisciplinary thinkers. We tweet (#generalists) about such individuals and their contributions to society.

    20 October – PTLeader.com (news) ‘Renaissance Man’ Bob Boardman Mourned

    Complex Adaptive Systems
    A Complex Adaptive System (#CAS) is closely related to a Chaotic System and Swarm Intelligence. It uses independently acting agents to produce solutions through emergence. Scientists, economists, psychologist and others are using it to understand human and computer networks and how processes evolve over time.

    20 October – Wall Street Journal (Real Time Economics) Using Evolutionary Theory to Predict Economic Recovery

    16 October – MSNBC (LiveScience) Deep Thoughts on What Makes Humans Special

    07 October – NewsWise (The University of Alabama) NSF Grant to Art Professors for Emergent Learning Test

    The Renaissance Mob (Youtube Favorites)
    The Renaissance Mob has a brand new YouTube channel. Please subscribe! In addition to being a collection point for videos on RM topics, in the coming months we will be posting our own videos introducing our project and supplementing the blog.

    19 October – The Mandelbrot Set (chalkboard video)

    Chaos Theory
    Most all RM topics are based on The Chaos Theory (#chth), especially as it applies to humans. Tweets on this topic are about understanding Chaos Theory and what we can learn from it.

    13 October – SpringerLink (Journal of Statistical Physics) Chaos Theory Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow

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